Champions League
Probabilities for teams to reach the knockout stages
| # | Team | Current Points | MP | W | D | L | GD | Goals | Average Position | Average Points | Top 8 Odds | Top 24 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23:4 | 1.00 | 24.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22:8 | 2.00 | 21.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20:8 | 3.00 | 18.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 4 |
Tottenham Hotspur
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17:7 | 4.00 | 17.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22:14 | 5.00 | 16.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:10 | 6.00 | 16.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 7 |
Sporting Clube de Portugal
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17:11 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15:9 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 9 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21:12 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 10 |
Inter
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15:7 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 11 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 21:11 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17:7 | 12.00 | 14.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 13 |
Juventus
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:10 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 14 |
Atletico Madrid
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 14.00 | 13.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 15 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:10 | 15.00 | 13.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 16 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 13:14 | 16.00 | 12.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 17 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 17.00 | 11.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 18 |
Olympiacos
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 10:14 | 18.00 | 11.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 19 |
Club Brugge
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 15:17 | 19.00 | 10.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 20 |
Galatasaray
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9:11 | 20.00 | 10.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 21 |
AS Monaco
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 8:14 | 21.00 | 10.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 22 |
Qarabag
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 13:21 | 22.00 | 10.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 23 |
Bodo Glimt
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 14:15 | 23.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 24 |
Benfica
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10:12 | 24.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | 100.00% |
| 25 |
Marseille
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 11:14 | 25.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 26 |
Pafos
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 8:11 | 26.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 27 |
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 8:17 | 27.00 | 9.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 28 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16:16 | 28.00 | 8.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 29 |
Athletic Bilbao
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 9:14 | 29.00 | 8.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 30 |
Napoli
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 9:15 | 30.00 | 8.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 31 |
Kobenhavn
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 12:21 | 31.00 | 8.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 32 |
Ajax
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 8:21 | 32.00 | 6.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 33 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10:21 | 33.00 | 4.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 5:19 | 34.00 | 3.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 35 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 5:18 | 35.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7:22 | 36.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Knockout stage
Play-offs
Round of 16
Play-off 2 winner
Play-off 3 winner
Play-off 4 winner
Play-off 6 winner
Play-off 7 winner
Play-off 8 winner
Quarter-finals
Winner R16 1
Winner R16 2
Winner R16 3
Winner R16 4
Winner R16 5
Winner R16 6
Winner R16 7
Winner R16 8
Semi-finals
Winner QF 1
Winner QF 2
Winner QF 3
Winner QF 4
Final
Winner SF 1
Winner SF 2
Champions League – Probabilities
| # | Team | Playoffs | Reach R16 | Reach QF | Reach SF | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 50.28% |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 49.72% |
| 3 |
Bayern Munich
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 5 |
Man City
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 6 |
Real Madrid
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 7 |
Inter
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 9 |
Ath Madrid
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 10 |
Dortmund
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 11 |
Leverkusen
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 12 |
Benfica
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 13 |
Juventus
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 14 |
Sporting CP
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 15 |
Napoli
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 16 |
Chelsea
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 18 |
Atalanta
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 20 |
Club Brugge
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 22 |
Galatasaray
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 23 |
Monaco
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 24 |
Tottenham
|
0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 25 |
St. Gilloise
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 26 |
Marseille
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 27 |
Ath Bilbao
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 28 |
Bodo Glimt
|
100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 29 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 30 |
Olympiacos
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 31 |
Ajax
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 32 |
Kobenhavn
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 33 |
Slavia Praha
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 34 |
Pafos
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 35 |
Qarabag
|
100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
| 36 |
Kairat
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
Based on 100˙000 simulations
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 23:43
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 23:43
Season Stats (per 90 minutes)
| Team | xG | xGA | Pass % | Poss % | SOG | Shots | Fouls | Offsides | 🟨 | 🟥 | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | 1.35 | 88.5 | 61.1 | 7.8 | 17.9 | 10.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 3.7 | |
| 2.46 | 0.90 | 84.8 | 52.6 | 7.4 | 19.2 | 11.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.2 | |
| 2.15 | 1.35 | 81.5 | 48.9 | 6.3 | 13.6 | 9.6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.8 | |
| 2.14 | 1.61 | 87.4 | 53.6 | 6.9 | 17.2 | 10.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 4.9 | |
| 1.95 | 0.76 | 85.5 | 53.2 | 5.9 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | |
| 1.89 | 1.62 | 83.6 | 47.5 | 6.0 | 16.1 | 15.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 3.8 | |
| 1.87 | 1.30 | 88.2 | 62.9 | 7.0 | 18.0 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.5 | |
| 1.86 | 1.29 | 87.6 | 63.8 | 7.1 | 16.0 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.5 | |
| 1.85 | 1.08 | 86.7 | 57.1 | 5.3 | 17.7 | 10.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.7 | |
| 1.82 | 1.40 | 83.7 | 49.6 | 5.4 | 12.6 | 10.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | |
| 1.79 | 1.64 | 84.3 | 49.3 | 5.4 | 14.2 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.6 | |
| 1.72 | 1.83 | 82.9 | 48.5 | 4.3 | 13.3 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.1 | |
| 1.71 | 2.29 | 81.2 | 45.8 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 5.6 | |
| 1.65 | 1.23 | 90.4 | 59.0 | 6.7 | 15.4 | 9.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | |
| 1.63 | 2.03 | 84.8 | 46.7 | 5.5 | 13.0 | 9.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | |
| 1.61 | 2.17 | 82.9 | 50.4 | 5.0 | 12.5 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.7 | |
| 1.60 | 1.84 | 81.3 | 41.5 | 4.8 | 13.1 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 3.4 | |
| 1.60 | 1.32 | 84.4 | 54.0 | 4.5 | 10.6 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.2 | |
| 1.54 | 1.08 | 88.2 | 54.6 | 5.5 | 13.8 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | |
| 1.49 | 2.04 | 83.5 | 51.6 | 3.9 | 10.6 | 9.8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 3.6 | |
| 1.37 | 2.06 | 77.0 | 39.5 | 4.5 | 10.4 | 13.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 3.5 | |
| 1.35 | 1.23 | 82.8 | 44.6 | 4.4 | 13.3 | 9.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.2 | |
| 1.35 | 1.32 | 86.7 | 52.3 | 3.8 | 10.8 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.2 | |
| 1.29 | 1.56 | 86.4 | 51.5 | 3.4 | 11.5 | 13.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.1 | |
| 1.26 | 1.04 | 86.4 | 50.0 | 4.8 | 12.4 | 10.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | |
| 1.22 | 2.37 | 77.3 | 35.0 | 4.6 | 11.5 | 12.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | |
| 1.17 | 1.50 | 83.6 | 42.0 | 3.6 | 13.3 | 12.6 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 2.5 | |
| 1.13 | 1.21 | 74.5 | 41.0 | 3.1 | 10.4 | 16.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 2.9 | |
| 1.11 | 2.59 | 81.3 | 44.6 | 4.1 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 4.2 | |
| 1.10 | 1.54 | 87.1 | 53.9 | 3.3 | 10.0 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 3.3 | |
| 1.10 | 2.04 | 74.8 | 46.6 | 3.5 | 11.9 | 16.9 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 5.5 | |
| 1.02 | 1.45 | 76.0 | 43.1 | 3.6 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | |
| 0.96 | 1.39 | 86.9 | 55.1 | 5.1 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 4.3 | |
| 0.89 | 1.90 | 74.8 | 37.1 | 3.5 | 9.4 | 11.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 4.3 | |
| 0.77 | 2.26 | 79.5 | 39.5 | 2.9 | 6.6 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | |
| 0.74 | 2.88 | 75.8 | 42.8 | 2.6 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 |
Top Scorers
| # | Player | Team | Apps | ⏱ | ⚽ | 🅰️ | 🟨 | 🟥 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 912 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 1039 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain | 15 | 1057 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 15 | 1240 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | Newcastle | 12 | 770 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | Manchester City | 10 | 755 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 987 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 8 | Paris Saint-Germain | 12 | 738 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Galatasaray | 10 | 841 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 10 | Bodo Glimt | 14 | 1118 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | Newcastle | 12 | 808 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | Barcelona | 11 | 801 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 13 | Bodo Glimt | 14 | 1097 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| 14 | Arsenal | 13 | 667 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 14 | 617 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | Paris Saint-Germain | 16 | 1439 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | Ferencvaros | 6 | 408 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | Barcelona | 10 | 874 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| 19 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 1081 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| 20 | Paris Saint-Germain | 12 | 751 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Top Assists
| # | Player | Team | Apps | ⏱ | 🅰️ | ⚽ | 🟨 | 🟥 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 15 | 1057 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 1081 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain | 12 | 1034 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4 | Bodo Glimt | 14 | 1118 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 14 | 1170 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 6 | Club Brugge | 13 | 1050 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 7 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 561 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid | 15 | 1240 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Newcastle | 12 | 808 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | Barcelona | 11 | 801 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | |
| 11 | Barcelona | 10 | 874 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | |
| 12 | Paris Saint-Germain | 12 | 751 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | Liverpool | 12 | 1053 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | Club Brugge | 14 | 1260 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | Real Madrid | 13 | 1162 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | Marseille | 8 | 589 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | Paris Saint-Germain | 15 | 952 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 18 | Real Madrid | 14 | 1030 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 19 | Kobenhavn | 13 | 1049 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 20 | Benfica | 14 | 1217 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
