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Europe

Champions League

Probabilities for teams to reach the knockout stages

View simulated draw
# Team Current Points MP W D L GD Goals Average Position Average Points Top 8 Odds Top 24 Odds
1 ger flag Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 5.46 17.61 79.00% 99.13%
2 eng flag Arsenal logo Arsenal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 6.85 16.69 70.24% 98.33%
3 fra flag Paris Saint-Germain logo Paris Saint-Germain 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 9.37 15.30 54.98% 95.64%
4 esp flag Barcelona logo Barcelona 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 9.46 15.28 54.70% 95.32%
5 esp flag Real Madrid logo Real Madrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 10.30 14.81 49.47% 94.40%
6 ita flag Inter logo Inter 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 10.39 14.80 49.25% 93.91%
7 eng flag Manchester City logo Manchester City 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 11.33 14.31 44.10% 92.58%
8 eng flag Liverpool logo Liverpool 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 13.25 13.45 35.62% 87.59%
9 ger flag Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 13.40 13.33 33.28% 88.46%
10 eng flag Aston Villa logo Aston Villa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 15.08 12.57 27.15% 83.24%
11 ita flag Roma logo Roma 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 15.10 12.57 26.52% 83.64%
12 esp flag Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 16.27 12.05 22.93% 79.42%
13 ned flag PSV Eindhoven logo PSV Eindhoven 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 16.72 11.87 21.61% 77.86%
14 por flag Porto logo Porto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 16.83 11.82 21.18% 77.25%
15 ita flag Napoli logo Napoli 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 16.79 11.84 20.69% 78.06%
16 por flag Sporting Clube de Portugal logo Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 16.93 11.76 20.61% 77.05%
17 eng flag Manchester United logo Manchester United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 17.06 11.70 20.11% 76.58%
18 ger flag Stuttgart logo Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 17.07 11.72 19.96% 76.89%
19 tur flag Fenerbahce logo Fenerbahce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 18.09 11.27 17.30% 72.64%
20 fra flag Lens logo Lens 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 18.70 11.00 15.99% 70.08%
21 ger flag RB Leipzig logo RB Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 19.45 10.66 13.86% 67.16%
22 ita flag Como logo Como 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 20.33 10.29 11.01% 63.97%
23 tur flag Galatasaray logo Galatasaray 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 20.52 10.21 10.93% 63.13%
24 bel flag Club Brugge logo Club Brugge 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 21.19 9.87 10.07% 59.52%
25 esp flag Villarreal logo Villarreal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 21.09 9.95 9.88% 60.38%
26 fra flag Lille logo Lille 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 21.49 9.80 8.23% 59.07%
27 esp flag Real Betis logo Real Betis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 21.99 9.58 7.60% 56.71%
28 nor flag Bodo Glimt logo Bodo Glimt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 22.24 9.45 7.38% 55.05%
29 ukr flag Shakhtar Donetsk logo Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 23.03 9.12 6.18% 51.49%
30 ned flag Feyenoord logo Feyenoord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 25.05 8.18 4.06% 41.01%
31 aus flag LASK logo LASK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 26.08 7.75 2.73% 36.17%
32 cze flag Slavia Praha logo Slavia Praha 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 28.92 6.33 0.99% 21.74%
33 nor flag Viking logo Viking 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 28.93 6.34 0.94% 21.46%
34 aze flag Sabah FK logo Sabah FK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 29.69 5.94 0.66% 18.24%
35 gre flag AEK Athens logo AEK Athens 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 30.77 5.31 0.40% 13.36%
36 svk flag Slovan Bratislava logo Slovan Bratislava 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 30.78 5.29 0.39% 13.50%

Knockout stage

Champions League – Probabilities
# Team Playoffs Reach R16 Reach QF Reach SF Reach final Win
1 ger flag Bayern Munich 20.1% 96.1% 76.3% 56.6% 39.8% 24.79%
2 eng flag Arsenal 28.1% 93.6% 71.9% 51.1% 33.8% 19.82%
3 fra flag Paris SG 40.7% 86.3% 59.3% 37.3% 21.5% 11.18%
4 esp flag Barcelona 40.6% 85.5% 58.0% 35.6% 20.0% 10.29%
5 eng flag Man City 48.5% 79.2% 50.4% 29.3% 15.4% 7.42%
6 esp flag Real Madrid 44.9% 81.2% 49.2% 26.9% 13.2% 6.04%
7 ita flag Inter 44.7% 79.7% 46.7% 24.3% 11.2% 4.82%
8 eng flag Liverpool 52.0% 67.6% 35.1% 15.9% 6.3% 2.47%
9 ger flag Dortmund 55.2% 66.4% 32.7% 14.2% 5.5% 2.12%
10 eng flag Aston Villa 56.1% 59.7% 28.1% 11.8% 4.4% 1.63%
11 esp flag Ath Madrid 56.5% 55.0% 25.3% 10.2% 3.8% 1.42%
12 ita flag Roma 57.1% 57.9% 25.8% 10.2% 3.5% 1.25%
13 eng flag Man United 56.5% 51.0% 22.3% 8.6% 2.9% 1.09%
14 por flag Sporting CP 56.4% 51.5% 22.6% 8.8% 3.0% 1.03%
15 ita flag Napoli 57.4% 49.8% 19.8% 7.0% 2.2% 0.72%
16 ned flag PSV Eindhoven 56.3% 49.8% 19.8% 6.8% 2.1% 0.65%
17 por flag Porto 56.1% 48.0% 18.2% 6.0% 1.7% 0.55%
18 fra flag Lens 54.1% 41.6% 15.6% 5.1% 1.5% 0.43%
19 ger flag RB Leipzig 53.3% 38.9% 14.3% 4.6% 1.3% 0.38%
20 ger flag Stuttgart 56.9% 45.9% 16.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.35%
21 tur flag Fenerbahce 55.3% 41.9% 14.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.31%
22 bel flag Club Brugge 49.4% 31.9% 11.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.25%
23 tur flag Galatasaray 52.2% 33.2% 10.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.21%
24 ita flag Como 53.0% 33.3% 10.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.18%
25 esp flag Villarreal 50.5% 30.2% 9.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.16%
26 fra flag Lille 50.8% 29.3% 9.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.15%
27 esp flag Betis 49.1% 26.8% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.12%
28 nor flag Bodo Glimt 47.7% 26.5% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.11%
29 ukr flag Shakhtar Donetsk 45.3% 20.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.03%
30 ned flag Feyenoord 36.9% 14.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.01%
31 aus flag LASK 33.4% 9.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.00%
32 cze flag Slavia Praha 20.8% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.00%
33 nor flag Viking 20.5% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.00%
34 aze flag Sabah FK 17.6% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
35 svk flag Slovan Bratislava 13.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
36 gre flag AEK Athens 13.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Based on 100˙000 simulations
Last updated: September 2, 2026, 10:35

Season Stats (per 90 minutes)

Team xG xGA Pass % Poss % SOG Shots Fouls Offsides 🟨 🟥 Saves
0.00 0.00 54.7 46.0 4.7 10.3 13.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.7
0.00 0.00 81.0 55.0 6.5 14.5 11.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.5
0.00 0.00 73.0 45.0 4.0 12.5 8.5 1.5 2.0 0.5 4.0
0.00 0.00 87.5 48.0 4.0 15.0 16.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 3.0
0.00 0.00 86.5 57.5 5.0 12.5 10.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.5
0.00 0.00 88.5 52.0 3.0 13.0 8.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0
0.00 0.00 83.0 44.0 1.0 6.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0
0.00 0.00 75.0 38.5 5.5 9.5 13.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 3.0
0.00 0.00 87.5 57.5 8.5 18.0 16.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 3.5
0.00 0.00 81.0 42.5 8.0 30.5 14.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 3.0
0.00 0.00 79.5 45.5 6.5 13.5 15.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.5
0.00 0.00 82.3 45.7 9.0 23.3 13.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 4.0
0.00 0.00 81.0 50.0 2.0 19.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 50.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 57.0 54.0 6.3 9.0 14.7 4.0 4.0 0.3 2.3
0.00 0.00 57.7 69.7 6.0 10.7 10.0 2.3 3.0 0.7 3.7
0.00 0.00 0.0 50.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 56.3 54.0 4.3 14.3 10.7 1.0 1.3 0.3 2.0
0.00 0.00 86.0 50.0 5.0 14.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 61.0 7.0 0.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0

Top Scorers

# Player Team Apps ⏱ ⚽ 🅰️ 🟨 🟥
1
Talisca Talisca
Fenerbahce 6 474 4 0 0 0
2
J. Mickels J. Mickels
Sabah FK 8 462 3 1 2 0
3
Reinaldo Reinaldo
Levski Sofia 8 299 3 0 0 0
4
V. Simić V. Simić
Sabah FK 8 437 3 0 1 0
5
M. Greenwood M. Greenwood
Fenerbahce 6 359 2 1 1 0
6
D. Beljo D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb 6 390 2 1 1 0
7
V. Slivka V. Slivka
Kauno Žalgiris 6 90 2 0 2 0
8
I. Zlatanović I. Zlatanović
Hapoel Beer Sheva 6 120 2 0 1 0
9
J. Bogere J. Bogere
Aarhus 4 272 2 0 1 0
10
B. Varga B. Varga
AEK Athens 2 114 2 0 0 0
11
B. Labeau B. Labeau
Thun 2 146 2 0 0 0
12
P. Wålemark P. Wålemark
Lech Poznan 2 153 2 0 0 0
13
C. Durán C. Durán
Celtic 2 203 2 0 0 0
14
S. Adeniran S. Adeniran
LASK 2 210 2 0 0 0
15
A. Helmersen A. Helmersen
Bodo Glimt 4 220 2 1 0 0
16
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Aarhus — 395 2 1 0 0
17
Z. Tripić Z. Tripić
Viking 2 169 2 0 1 0
18
J. Hauge J. Hauge
Bodo Glimt 4 269 1 3 0 0
19
D. Watts D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers 4 77 1 2 1 0
20
T. Moi T. Moi
Viking 2 148 1 2 0 0

Top Assists

# Player Team Apps ⏱ 🅰️ ⚽ 🟨 🟥
1
J. Hauge J. Hauge
Bodo Glimt 4 269 3 1 0 0
2
A. Isaev A. Isaev
Sabah FK 8 374 3 0 0 0
3
T. Puchacz T. Puchacz
Sabah FK 8 455 3 0 0 0
4
D. Watts D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers 4 77 2 1 1 0
5
T. Moi T. Moi
Viking 2 148 2 1 0 0
6
F. Topić F. Topić
Dinamo Zagreb 5 80 2 0 1 0
7
K. Aktürkoğlu K. Aktürkoğlu
Fenerbahce 5 390 2 0 1 0
8
D. Tadić D. Tadić
NEC Nijmegen 4 288 2 0 0 0
9
C. Tolisso C. Tolisso
Lyon 4 358 2 0 0 0
10
L. Balaj L. Balaj
Drita 2 58 2 0 0 0
11
F. Fehr F. Fehr
Thun 2 195 2 0 1 0
12
J. Mickels J. Mickels
Sabah FK 8 462 1 3 2 0
13
M. Greenwood M. Greenwood
Fenerbahce 6 359 1 2 1 0
14
D. Beljo D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb 6 390 1 2 1 0
15
A. Helmersen A. Helmersen
Bodo Glimt 4 220 1 2 0 0
16
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Aarhus — 395 1 2 0 0
17
P. Mbina P. Mbina
Sabah FK 8 194 1 1 0 0
18
U. Rahmonaliyev U. Rahmonaliyev
Sabah FK 8 445 1 1 1 0
19
M. Valinčić M. Valinčić
Dinamo Zagreb 6 376 1 1 1 0
20
D. Hafsteinsson D. Hafsteinsson
Víkingur Reykjavík 4 77 1 1 1 0

Recent Matches

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Lyon
1-2
Fenerbahce
AEK Athens
4-0
Levski Sofia
Nogometni Klub Celje
1-2
Slovan Bratislava
Viking
3-1
Dinamo Zagreb

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Sabah FK
5-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Bodo Glimt
3-0
NEC Nijmegen
LASK
5-1
Celtic

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Celtic
3-0
LASK
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
Sabah FK
Slovan Bratislava
1-1
Nogometni Klub Celje
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
Bodo Glimt

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Fenerbahce
1-1
Lyon
Levski Sofia
0-0
AEK Athens
Dinamo Zagreb
2-2
Viking

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Lyon
3-0
Sparta Praha
Kauno Žalgiris
1-2
Dinamo Zagreb
Sabah FK
4-0
Aarhus
Kairat Almaty
0-1
Levski Sofia
Bodo Glimt
3-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
NEC Nijmegen
2-1
Olympiacos
Nogometni Klub Celje
2-0
FC Ararat-Armenia
Red Star Belgrade
0-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Slovan Bratislava
2-0
Mjallby AIF
Sturm Graz
0-1
Fenerbahce

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Aarhus
2-1
Sabah FK
Fenerbahce
2-0
Sturm Graz

Tuesday, August 4, 2026

FC Ararat-Armenia
2-1
Nogometni Klub Celje
Mjallby AIF
1-2
Slovan Bratislava
Levski Sofia
1-0
Kairat Almaty
Sparta Praha
2-1
Lyon
Olympiacos
0-0
NEC Nijmegen
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1-0
Red Star Belgrade
Union Saint-Gilloise
3-3
Bodo Glimt
Dinamo Zagreb
5-0
Kauno Žalgiris

Upcoming Fixtures

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Club Brugge
16:45
Aston Villa
AEK Athens
16:45
LASK
Porto
19:00
Manchester City
Lille
19:00
Real Betis
Real Madrid
19:00
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
19:00
Villarreal

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Barcelona
16:45
Feyenoord
Stuttgart
16:45
Viking
Liverpool
19:00
Atletico Madrid
Napoli
19:00
Arsenal
Paris Saint-Germain
19:00
Slovan Bratislava
Sporting Clube de Portugal
19:00
Galatasaray

Thursday, September 10, 2026

PSV Eindhoven
16:45
Shakhtar Donetsk
Fenerbahce
16:45
Roma
Bayern Munich
19:00
Bodo Glimt
Como
19:00
RB Leipzig
Manchester United
19:00
Sabah FK
Slavia Praha
19:00
Lens

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Sabah FK
18:45
Slavia Praha
Lens
18:45
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Inter
21:00
Club Brugge
Atletico Madrid
21:00
Manchester United
RB Leipzig
21:00
PSV Eindhoven
Viking
21:00
Bayern Munich
Galatasaray
21:00
Barcelona
Arsenal
21:00
Lille
Villarreal
21:00
Napoli

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Feyenoord
18:45
Como
LASK
18:45
Liverpool
Roma
21:00
Real Madrid
Aston Villa
21:00
Fenerbahce
Bodo Glimt
21:00
Borussia Dortmund
Shakhtar Donetsk
21:00
AEK Athens
Slovan Bratislava
21:00
Stuttgart
Real Betis
21:00
Porto
Manchester City
21:00
Paris Saint-Germain

Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Sabah FK
18:45
Borussia Dortmund
Fenerbahce
18:45
Slavia Praha
Roma
21:00
Slovan Bratislava
Porto
21:00
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
21:00
Villarreal
Napoli
21:00
Bodo Glimt
Manchester City
21:00
AEK Athens
Stuttgart
21:00
Atletico Madrid
Paris Saint-Germain
21:00
Barcelona

Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Lille
18:45
Galatasaray
Como
18:45
Manchester United
Aston Villa
21:00
Viking
Bayern Munich
21:00
Arsenal
Real Betis
21:00
Feyenoord
Club Brugge
21:00
Lens
Inter
21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Real Madrid
21:00
RB Leipzig
Sporting Clube de Portugal
21:00
LASK

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk
18:45
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Galatasaray
18:45
Stuttgart
Barcelona
21:00
Aston Villa
Bodo Glimt
21:00
Lille
Feyenoord
21:00
Inter
LASK
21:00
Slovan Bratislava
Manchester United
21:00
Roma
Villarreal
21:00
Paris Saint-Germain
Atletico Madrid
21:00
Bayern Munich

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Fenerbahce
18:45
Liverpool
AEK Athens
18:45
Real Madrid
PSV Eindhoven
21:00
Club Brugge
RB Leipzig
21:00
Manchester City
Slavia Praha
21:00
Arsenal
Viking
21:00
Sabah FK
Porto
21:00
Napoli
Borussia Dortmund
21:00
Real Betis
Lens
21:00
Como

Tuesday, November 24, 2026

Bodo Glimt
18:45
LASK
Galatasaray
18:45
Aston Villa
Arsenal
21:00
Borussia Dortmund
Feyenoord
21:00
Porto
Manchester City
21:00
Napoli
Como
21:00
AEK Athens
Real Madrid
21:00
PSV Eindhoven
Slovan Bratislava
21:00
Real Betis
RB Leipzig
21:00
Lens

Wednesday, November 25, 2026

Sabah FK
18:45
Barcelona
Slavia Praha
18:45
Villarreal
Lille
21:00
Bayern Munich
Paris Saint-Germain
21:00
Roma
Shakhtar Donetsk
21:00
Fenerbahce
Sporting Clube de Portugal
21:00
Manchester United
Inter
21:00
Stuttgart
Atletico Madrid
21:00
Viking
Club Brugge
21:00
Liverpool

Tuesday, December 8, 2026

Viking
18:45
Feyenoord
Villarreal
18:45
Sabah FK
Roma
21:00
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Bayern Munich
21:00
Slavia Praha
Barcelona
21:00
Manchester City
Napoli
21:00
Club Brugge
Aston Villa
21:00
Paris Saint-Germain
AEK Athens
21:00
Galatasaray
Manchester United
21:00
RB Leipzig

Wednesday, December 9, 2026

Real Betis
18:45
Como
Slovan Bratislava
18:45
Shakhtar Donetsk
Arsenal
21:00
Real Madrid
LASK
21:00
Fenerbahce
Liverpool
21:00
Porto
PSV Eindhoven
21:00
Atletico Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
21:00
Inter
Stuttgart
21:00
Lille
Lens
21:00
Bodo Glimt

Tuesday, January 19, 2027

Bodo Glimt
18:45
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
18:45
Feyenoord
AEK Athens
21:00
Roma
Aston Villa
21:00
Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
21:00
LASK
Stuttgart
21:00
Club Brugge
Inter
21:00
Liverpool
Lille
21:00
Slovan Bratislava
Porto
21:00
Slavia Praha

Wednesday, January 20, 2027

Fenerbahce
18:45
Villarreal
Sabah FK
18:45
Napoli
Real Betis
21:00
Arsenal
Como
21:00
Paris Saint-Germain
Manchester United
21:00
Bayern Munich
Sporting Clube de Portugal
21:00
Barcelona
Viking
21:00
PSV Eindhoven
Lens
21:00
Manchester City
RB Leipzig
21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk

Wednesday, January 27, 2027

Arsenal
21:00
Sabah FK
Roma
21:00
Lille
Atletico Madrid
21:00
Fenerbahce
Barcelona
21:00
Como
Bayern Munich
21:00
Real Betis
LASK
21:00
Porto
Liverpool
21:00
Lens
Manchester City
21:00
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Napoli
21:00
Viking
Paris Saint-Germain
21:00
Galatasaray
Borussia Dortmund
21:00
AEK Athens
PSV Eindhoven
21:00
Stuttgart
Club Brugge
21:00
Bodo Glimt
Shakhtar Donetsk
21:00
Real Madrid
Slavia Praha
21:00
Aston Villa
Villarreal
21:00
Manchester United
Slovan Bratislava
21:00
Inter
Feyenoord
21:00
RB Leipzig