Europe

Conference League

Probabilities for teams to reach the knockout stages

# Team Current Points MP W D L GD Goals Average Position Average Points Top 8 Odds Top 24 Odds
1 fra flag RC Strasbourg logo RC Strasbourg 16 6 5 1 0 6 11:5 1.00 16.00 100.00% 100.00%
2 pol flag Raków Częstochowa logo Raków Częstochowa 14 6 4 2 0 7 9:2 2.00 14.00 100.00% 100.00%
3 gre flag AEK Athens logo AEK Athens 13 6 4 1 1 7 14:7 3.00 13.00 100.00% 100.00%
4 cze flag Sparta Praha logo Sparta Praha 13 6 4 1 1 7 10:3 4.00 13.00 100.00% 100.00%
5 esp flag Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano 13 6 4 1 1 6 13:7 5.00 13.00 100.00% 100.00%
6 ukr flag Shakhtar Donetsk logo Shakhtar Donetsk 13 6 4 1 1 5 10:5 6.00 13.00 100.00% 100.00%
7 ger flag Mainz logo Mainz 13 6 4 1 1 4 7:3 7.00 13.00 100.00% 100.00%
8 cip flag AEK Larnaca logo AEK Larnaca 12 6 3 3 0 6 7:1 8.00 12.00 100.00% 100.00%
9 svi flag Lausanne Sports logo Lausanne Sports 11 6 3 2 1 3 6:3 9.00 11.00 0.00% 100.00%
10 eng flag Crystal Palace logo Crystal Palace 10 6 3 1 2 5 11:6 10.00 10.00 0.00% 100.00%
11 pol flag Lech Poznan logo Lech Poznan 10 6 3 1 2 4 12:8 11.00 10.00 0.00% 100.00%
12 tur flag Samsunspor logo Samsunspor 10 6 3 1 2 4 10:6 12.00 10.00 0.00% 100.00%
13 slo flag Nogometni Klub Celje logo Nogometni Klub Celje 10 6 3 1 2 1 8:7 13.00 10.00 0.00% 100.00%
14 ned flag AZ Alkmaar logo AZ Alkmaar 10 6 3 1 2 0 7:7 14.00 10.00 0.00% 100.00%
15 ita flag Fiorentina logo Fiorentina 9 6 3 0 3 3 8:5 15.00 9.00 0.00% 100.00%
16 slo flag HNK Rijeka logo HNK Rijeka 9 6 2 3 1 3 5:2 16.00 9.00 0.00% 100.00%
17 pol flag Jagiellonia Bialystok logo Jagiellonia Bialystok 9 6 2 3 1 1 5:4 17.00 9.00 0.00% 100.00%
18 cip flag Omonia Nicosia logo Omonia Nicosia 8 6 2 2 2 1 5:4 18.00 8.00 0.00% 100.00%
19 arm flag Noah logo Noah 8 6 2 2 2 -1 6:7 19.00 8.00 0.00% 100.00%
20 kos flag Drita logo Drita 8 6 2 2 2 -4 4:8 20.00 8.00 0.00% 100.00%
21 fin flag KuPS logo KuPS 7 6 1 4 1 1 6:5 21.00 7.00 0.00% 100.00%
22 mac flag Shkendija logo Shkendija 7 6 2 1 3 -1 4:5 22.00 7.00 0.00% 100.00%
23 bos flag Zrinjski Mostar logo Zrinjski Mostar 7 6 2 1 3 -2 8:10 23.00 7.00 0.00% 100.00%
24 cze flag Sigma Olomouc logo Sigma Olomouc 7 6 2 1 3 -2 7:9 24.00 7.00 0.00% 100.00%
25 rom flag FC Universitatea Craiova logo FC Universitatea Craiova 7 6 2 1 3 -2 6:8 25.00 7.00 0.00% 0.00%
26 gib flag Lincoln Red Imps logo Lincoln Red Imps 7 6 2 1 3 -8 7:15 26.00 7.00 0.00% 0.00%
27 ukr flag Dynamo Kyiv logo Dynamo Kyiv 6 6 2 0 4 0 9:9 27.00 6.00 0.00% 0.00%
28 pol flag Legia Warsaw logo Legia Warsaw 6 6 2 0 4 0 8:8 28.00 6.00 0.00% 0.00%
29 svk flag Slovan Bratislava logo Slovan Bratislava 6 6 2 0 4 -4 5:9 29.00 6.00 0.00% 0.00%
30 ice flag Breidablik Kópavogur logo Breidablik Kópavogur 5 6 1 2 3 -5 6:11 30.00 5.00 0.00% 0.00%
31 irl flag Shamrock Rovers logo Shamrock Rovers 4 6 1 1 4 -6 7:13 31.00 4.00 0.00% 0.00%
32 swe flag BK Häcken logo BK Häcken 3 6 0 3 3 -3 5:8 32.00 3.00 0.00% 0.00%
33 mal flag Hamrun Spartans logo Hamrun Spartans 3 6 1 0 5 -7 4:11 33.00 3.00 0.00% 0.00%
34 irl flag Shelbourne Football Club logo Shelbourne Football Club 2 6 0 2 4 -7 0:7 34.00 2.00 0.00% 0.00%
35 sco flag Aberdeen logo Aberdeen 2 6 0 2 4 -11 3:14 35.00 2.00 0.00% 0.00%
36 aus flag Rapid Wien logo Rapid Wien 1 6 0 1 5 -11 3:14 36.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00%

Knockout stage

Conference League – Probabilities
# Team Playoffs Reach R16 Reach QF Reach SF Reach final Win
1 fra flag Strasbourg 0.0% 100.0% 63.0% 37.1% 22.4% 12.52%
2 ukr flag Shakhtar Donetsk 0.0% 100.0% 64.5% 38.6% 20.9% 11.35%
3 ger flag Mainz 0.0% 100.0% 57.9% 32.3% 18.6% 9.97%
4 eng flag Crystal Palace 100.0% 68.8% 42.2% 25.3% 15.5% 8.82%
5 esp flag Vallecano 0.0% 100.0% 60.5% 33.7% 17.1% 8.59%
6 cze flag Sparta Praha 0.0% 100.0% 57.7% 30.5% 15.5% 7.88%
7 ita flag Fiorentina 100.0% 66.6% 36.8% 21.0% 12.2% 6.67%
8 ned flag AZ Alkmaar 100.0% 60.1% 32.4% 16.6% 8.3% 4.17%
9 pol flag Raków Częstochowa 0.0% 100.0% 47.4% 20.8% 9.2% 4.09%
10 cip flag AEK Larnaca 0.0% 100.0% 44.0% 18.5% 8.0% 3.45%
11 gre flag AEK Athens 0.0% 100.0% 46.8% 19.5% 7.9% 3.34%
12 pol flag Lech Poznan 100.0% 56.4% 23.5% 11.7% 5.3% 2.40%
13 slo flag Publikum 100.0% 52.7% 24.7% 11.0% 4.6% 2.12%
14 svi flag Lausanne Sports 100.0% 51.3% 22.4% 9.5% 4.1% 1.76%
15 pol flag Jagiellonia Bialystok 100.0% 45.5% 19.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.76%
16 fin flag KuPS 100.0% 49.3% 19.0% 8.9% 3.6% 1.61%
17 slo flag Rijeka 100.0% 51.4% 20.7% 8.8% 3.8% 1.58%
18 arm flag Noah 100.0% 43.9% 19.6% 8.1% 3.2% 1.38%
19 tur flag Samsunspor 100.0% 50.8% 18.4% 8.0% 3.2% 1.37%
20 bos flag Zrinjski Mostar 100.0% 40.6% 17.3% 7.2% 3.1% 1.31%
21 kos flag Drita 100.0% 43.2% 18.9% 7.7% 3.1% 1.28%
22 cze flag Sigma Olomouc 100.0% 39.3% 16.2% 6.5% 2.7% 1.14%
23 mac flag Shkendija 100.0% 43.4% 14.2% 5.7% 2.0% 0.80%
24 cip flag Omonia Nicosia 100.0% 36.5% 12.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.66%
25 pol flag Legia Warsaw 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
26 ukr flag Dinamo Kiev 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
27 rom flag FC Universitatea Craiova 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
28 irl flag Shelbourne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
29 aus flag Rapid Wien 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
30 ice flag Breidablik Kópavogur 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
31 mal flag Hamrun Spartans 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
32 gib flag Lincoln Red Imps 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
33 irl flag Shamrock Rovers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
34 swe flag BK Häcken 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
35 svk flag Slovan Bratislava 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
36 sco flag Aberdeen 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Based on 100˙000 simulations
Last updated: February 21, 2026, 09:09

Season Stats (per 90 minutes)

Team xG xGA Pass % Poss % SOG Shots Fouls Offsides 🟨 🟥 Saves
2.35 0.83 80.4 49.7 5.7 16.5 13.8 2.0 2.0 0.1 2.0
2.18 0.91 86.4 63.4 5.4 16.9 9.8 1.6 1.8 0.0 1.9
2.03 1.12 81.4 54.0 5.5 13.9 8.6 1.1 1.4 0.0 2.3
1.76 1.23 86.7 58.2 5.1 12.2 9.4 1.6 2.4 0.0 3.2
1.71 0.80 82.2 54.8 5.1 13.3 11.2 2.0 1.7 0.1 1.9
1.63 1.04 81.8 55.3 6.0 18.3 15.6 1.3 3.1 0.0 1.7
1.62 0.77 78.7 46.5 5.2 16.5 10.7 2.5 2.2 0.0 2.0
1.57 1.29 75.4 52.4 4.6 11.0 10.8 1.6 1.7 0.1 4.4
1.50 1.28 82.3 51.5 5.3 15.0 14.0 1.9 2.8 0.0 2.4
1.36 1.14 83.7 58.1 4.9 13.9 12.0 1.1 2.7 0.1 2.6
1.33 1.12 78.4 47.2 3.6 12.7 13.5 2.4 1.8 0.2 2.3
1.32 1.07 81.9 53.6 4.7 16.1 11.4 1.7 1.9 0.0 1.7
1.31 1.10 82.7 54.2 3.3 14.3 9.7 1.5 2.5 0.0 3.8
1.29 1.96 75.2 40.2 4.0 8.8 9.0 2.7 2.5 0.0 3.2
1.25 1.00 79.1 46.5 3.8 10.6 11.0 2.0 2.8 0.0 3.3
1.22 0.72 84.7 59.2 4.2 12.7 10.8 2.3 1.5 0.0 1.7
1.22 0.86 79.9 49.5 4.5 12.6 9.8 1.9 1.5 0.0 3.1
1.14 1.01 87.8 63.5 4.8 13.8 9.6 2.4 1.9 0.0 2.2
1.09 1.65 74.4 42.4 4.4 12.1 12.4 1.9 2.4 0.1 1.6
1.07 1.75 83.8 54.2 3.0 8.8 10.7 1.8 2.3 0.0 3.7
1.06 1.52 77.8 36.8 2.5 10.8 9.3 1.0 1.3 0.0 3.7
1.04 1.30 81.6 51.8 4.3 11.1 15.8 1.3 2.4 0.4 2.9
1.03 1.19 82.0 49.8 4.2 11.8 10.8 1.8 2.4 0.0 3.2
1.01 1.24 74.1 42.3 2.8 12.1 16.1 1.1 2.1 0.1 2.6
0.99 1.20 78.4 50.0 3.7 10.6 10.4 1.7 2.9 0.3 2.3
0.99 2.39 73.3 42.3 2.8 9.2 10.8 1.2 2.3 0.2 4.7
0.98 1.39 76.3 45.2 3.3 9.3 17.2 1.2 2.8 0.2 2.7
0.97 2.33 78.2 46.2 3.5 10.7 13.2 2.0 2.3 0.5 5.7
0.86 1.27 81.1 50.3 4.1 12.4 14.8 1.1 2.5 0.3 3.1
0.80 1.53 75.0 40.1 3.5 11.1 13.4 1.4 1.9 0.0 3.1
0.78 1.21 82.9 55.4 2.9 11.1 11.4 1.7 1.4 0.0 1.7
0.78 1.64 76.5 48.3 3.3 11.0 16.3 1.8 2.3 0.0 3.7
0.76 1.82 75.8 35.3 2.0 7.7 11.7 1.7 2.2 0.0 2.8
0.72 1.42 83.4 52.9 2.1 8.9 11.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 3.6
0.62 1.66 76.0 35.2 2.0 8.2 12.8 0.8 2.7 0.2 4.8
0.49 1.42 76.9 40.0 1.9 7.9 11.6 1.3 2.6 0.1 3.5

Top Scorers

# Player Team Apps 🅰️ 🟨 🟥
1 AZ Alkmaar 13 1095 10 2 3 0
2 Crystal Palace 13 1193 9 0 2 0
3 Samsunspor 10 730 8 2 2 0
4 Nogometni Klub Celje 7 662 8 0 2 0
5 Lech Poznan 10 742 8 1 1 0
6 AZ Alkmaar 13 1237 7 3 2 0
7 Rayo Vallecano 12 695 6 4 1 0
8 AZ Alkmaar 14 764 5 3 4 0
9 Noah 9 601 5 1 2 0
10 AEK Athens 13 885 5 0 3 0
11 Jagiellonia Bialystok 10 769 5 0 2 0
12 HNK Rijeka 10 850 5 0 1 0
13 Fiorentina 11 496 5 3 2 0
14 Fiorentina 12 1032 4 3 5 0
15 RC Strasbourg 11 816 4 3 2 0
16 AEK Athens 11 491 4 1 1 0
17 AZ Alkmaar 11 658 4 0 4 0
18 HNK Rijeka 10 604 4 0 0 0
19 Lausanne Sports 10 1059 4 0 2 0
20 Rayo Vallecano 9 510 4 0 1 0

Top Assists

# Player Team Apps 🅰️ 🟨 🟥
1 Samsunspor 10 875 5 2 2 0
2 AZ Alkmaar 13 1159 5 0 1 0
3 BK Häcken 6 451 5 0 1 0
4 Rayo Vallecano 12 695 4 6 1 0
5 Rayo Vallecano 13 829 4 3 2 0
6 AZ Alkmaar 14 1301 4 2 2 0
7 Crystal Palace 13 1001 4 1 0 0
8 AZ Alkmaar 13 1237 3 7 2 0
9 AZ Alkmaar 14 764 3 5 4 0
10 Fiorentina 11 496 3 5 2 0
11 Fiorentina 12 1032 3 4 5 0
12 RC Strasbourg 11 816 3 4 2 0
13 Shakhtar Donetsk 11 846 3 3 1 0
14 Lech Poznan 10 528 3 3 0 0
15 RC Strasbourg 10 690 3 3 0 0
16 RC Strasbourg 11 580 3 2 1 0
17 AZ Alkmaar 11 738 3 2 2 1
18 Lausanne Sports 10 846 3 2 4 0
19 AEK Athens 7 340 3 2 0 0
20 Crystal Palace 12 786 3 2 2 0

Recent Matches

Friday, October 24, 2025

Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Upcoming Fixtures

Wednesday, May 27, 2026