Europe

Europa League

Probabilities for teams to reach the knockout stages

# Team Current Points MP W D L GD Goals Average Position Average Points Top 8 Odds Top 24 Odds
1 ita flag Juventus logo Juventus 6 2 2 0 0 6 7:1 4.82 17.92 84.24% 99.86%
2 ger flag Bayer Leverkusen logo Bayer Leverkusen 6 2 2 0 0 6 6:0 5.49 17.43 79.53% 99.73%
3 por flag Benfica logo Benfica 6 2 2 0 0 5 6:1 3.61 19.03 91.49% 99.94%
4 tur flag Besiktas logo Besiktas 6 2 2 0 0 4 7:3 12.49 13.59 32.33% 94.32%
5 eng flag Bournemouth logo Bournemouth 6 2 2 0 0 4 5:1 6.20 17.08 75.17% 99.51%
6 cip flag Omonia Nicosia logo Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 0 0 4 4:0 20.22 10.41 5.60% 69.90%
7 hun flag Ferencvaros logo Ferencvaros 6 2 2 0 0 3 5:2 12.36 13.78 32.32% 94.79%
8 fra flag Lyon logo Lyon 6 2 2 0 0 2 5:3 8.02 16.10 61.58% 98.82%
9 eng flag Sunderland AFC logo Sunderland AFC 6 2 2 0 0 2 3:1 10.74 14.68 43.17% 96.57%
10 gre flag Olympiacos logo Olympiacos 6 2 2 0 0 2 3:1 11.05 14.56 41.54% 95.89%
11 cze flag Sparta Praha logo Sparta Praha 4 2 1 1 0 3 5:2 17.69 11.13 13.07% 78.29%
12 bel flag Union Saint-Gilloise logo Union Saint-Gilloise 4 2 1 1 0 3 4:1 11.08 14.11 41.33% 95.56%
13 fra flag Rennes logo Rennes 4 2 1 1 0 1 2:1 11.10 14.25 40.99% 95.72%
14 cro flag Dinamo Zagreb logo Dinamo Zagreb 4 2 1 1 0 1 1:0 15.68 12.25 18.70% 85.92%
15 eng flag Crystal Palace logo Crystal Palace 3 2 1 0 1 3 6:3 13.00 13.07 31.80% 91.59%
16 ita flag Milan logo Milan 3 2 1 0 1 2 4:2 10.62 14.18 44.14% 96.37%
17 pol flag Jagiellonia Bialystok logo Jagiellonia Bialystok 3 2 1 0 1 1 4:3 21.37 9.74 5.82% 62.17%
18 gre flag OFI logo OFI 3 2 1 0 1 1 3:2 20.36 10.16 6.63% 67.72%
19 por flag Torreense logo Torreense 3 2 1 0 1 0 3:3 25.60 8.15 1.48% 39.61%
20 ned flag AZ Alkmaar logo AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 1 0 2:2 19.68 10.55 7.96% 70.86%
21 aus flag Red Bull Salzburg logo Red Bull Salzburg 3 2 1 0 1 -3 1:4 18.22 11.41 11.47% 76.85%
22 esp flag Real Sociedad logo Real Sociedad 1 2 0 1 1 -1 2:3 20.64 9.92 5.98% 66.20%
23 nor flag Lillestrom logo Lillestrom 1 2 0 1 1 -1 2:3 30.41 5.67 0.22% 14.96%
24 isr flag Hapoel Beer Sheva logo Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 2 0 1 1 -1 1:2 28.37 6.64 0.65% 24.54%
25 bul flag Levski Sofia logo Levski Sofia 1 2 0 1 1 -1 1:2 28.16 6.77 0.55% 25.82%
26 aus flag Sturm Graz logo Sturm Graz 1 2 0 1 1 -3 0:3 28.05 6.98 0.61% 26.87%
27 ned flag NEC Nijmegen logo NEC Nijmegen 1 2 0 1 1 -5 1:6 27.65 7.34 0.76% 28.89%
28 esp flag Celta de Vigo logo Celta de Vigo 0 2 0 0 2 -2 1:3 23.73 8.59 2.82% 50.49%
29 bel flag Anderlecht logo Anderlecht 0 2 0 0 2 -2 1:3 26.37 7.42 1.31% 36.15%
30 ger flag Hoffenheim logo Hoffenheim 0 2 0 0 2 -3 2:5 23.83 8.61 2.97% 49.74%
31 fra flag Marseille logo Marseille 0 2 0 0 2 -4 1:5 21.14 9.88 4.97% 64.66%
32 cze flag Viktoria Plzen logo Viktoria Plzen 0 2 0 0 2 -4 1:5 24.58 8.48 2.02% 46.24%
33 sco flag Celtic logo Celtic 0 2 0 0 2 -5 2:7 23.24 9.06 3.45% 52.91%
34 arm flag FC Ararat-Armenia logo FC Ararat-Armenia 0 2 0 0 2 -5 2:7 28.23 6.91 0.53% 26.70%
35 slo flag Nogometni Klub Celje logo Nogometni Klub Celje 0 2 0 0 2 -5 0:5 26.29 7.78 1.38% 37.12%
36 pol flag Lech Poznan logo Lech Poznan 0 2 0 0 2 -8 0:8 25.92 8.20 1.42% 38.73%

Knockout stage

Europa League – Probabilities
# Team Playoffs Reach R16 Reach QF Reach SF Reach final Win
1 por flag Benfica 8.5% 98.3% 74.2% 50.7% 32.7% 19.22%
2 ger flag Leverkusen 20.2% 95.6% 70.1% 47.0% 29.6% 17.00%
3 ita flag Juventus 15.6% 96.2% 68.0% 43.0% 25.6% 13.87%
4 eng flag Bournemouth 24.3% 92.8% 60.6% 34.8% 18.2% 8.96%
5 ita flag Milan 52.2% 81.9% 51.2% 29.0% 15.5% 7.93%
6 fra flag Lyon 37.2% 87.6% 53.7% 28.9% 14.6% 6.80%
7 bel flag St. Gilloise 54.2% 78.4% 45.5% 23.8% 11.6% 5.56%
8 fra flag Rennes 54.7% 76.8% 42.4% 20.5% 9.3% 4.16%
9 eng flag Crystal Palace 59.8% 71.0% 38.1% 18.7% 8.7% 3.93%
10 fra flag Marseille 59.7% 41.1% 19.1% 8.9% 3.9% 1.66%
11 gre flag Olympiacos 54.4% 70.8% 30.2% 11.0% 3.7% 1.35%
12 eng flag Sunderland 53.4% 70.8% 29.3% 10.2% 3.2% 1.14%
13 esp flag Sociedad 60.2% 39.2% 16.4% 6.8% 2.6% 1.04%
14 hun flag Ferencvaros 62.5% 63.1% 23.9% 7.9% 2.4% 0.85%
15 tur flag Besiktas 62.0% 62.8% 23.9% 7.9% 2.4% 0.85%
16 cro flag Dinamo Zagreb 67.2% 52.5% 20.1% 7.0% 2.2% 0.76%
17 aus flag RB Salzburg 65.4% 44.7% 16.9% 6.1% 2.1% 0.75%
18 esp flag Celta 47.7% 28.5% 11.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.70%
19 cze flag Sparta Praha 65.2% 44.7% 16.3% 5.6% 1.8% 0.63%
20 ger flag Hoffenheim 46.8% 27.7% 11.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.63%
21 sco flag Celtic 49.5% 28.9% 10.9% 4.2% 1.4% 0.53%
22 ned flag AZ Alkmaar 62.9% 36.6% 12.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.38%
23 cze flag Viktoria Plzen 44.2% 23.6% 8.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.35%
24 pol flag Lech Poznan 37.3% 19.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.32%
25 gre flag OFI 61.1% 33.1% 10.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.27%
26 pol flag Jagiellonia Bialystok 56.4% 26.7% 7.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.11%
27 bel flag Anderlecht 34.8% 15.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.10%
28 slo flag Publikum 35.7% 14.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.05%
29 isr flag Hapoel Beer Sheva 23.9% 9.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.03%
30 cip flag Omonia Nicosia 64.3% 21.3% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.02%
31 ned flag Nijmegen 28.1% 9.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.02%
32 aus flag Sturm Graz 26.3% 8.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.01%
33 arm flag FC Ararat-Armenia 26.2% 8.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.01%
34 bul flag Levski Sofia 25.3% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.01%
35 por flag Torreense 38.1% 9.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.01%
36 nor flag Lillestrom 14.7% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.00%
Based on 100˙000 simulations
Last updated: October 16, 2026, 09:35

Season Stats (per 90 minutes)

Team xG xGA Pass % Poss % SOG Shots Fouls Offsides 🟨 🟥 Saves
3.57 0.73 44.0 58.5 9.0 19.5 16.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0
2.36 0.79 39.0 53.0 5.0 21.0 16.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0
2.21 0.77 46.0 54.0 7.0 16.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 2.0
2.12 2.00 41.0 56.5 4.5 13.0 13.5 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.5
1.82 1.39 44.5 55.5 8.0 19.0 15.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0
1.70 1.52 39.0 46.5 7.0 12.0 8.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 2.5
1.68 0.45 41.5 64.5 7.0 24.0 9.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 2.0
1.58 0.71 41.5 51.0 5.0 17.0 10.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0
1.44 0.18 0.0 54.0 5.0 17.0 12.0 2.5 3.0 0.0 2.5
1.21 0.96 37.5 39.5 2.0 10.0 17.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.0
1.14 1.03 46.0 50.5 3.5 14.0 13.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 4.0
1.08 0.64 0.0 51.5 6.0 14.5 16.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5
0.97 0.58 21.3 55.5 8.0 9.3 10.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 2.5
0.96 0.38 0.0 47.5 9.0 19.0 13.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 2.5
0.96 1.53 44.5 54.0 3.0 10.5 13.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 3.0
0.94 2.02 44.0 52.5 2.5 8.5 9.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 5.0
0.88 0.55 0.0 50.5 6.5 16.5 14.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.0
0.85 0.31 0.0 62.3 5.5 9.3 7.8 0.8 1.3 0.0 0.8
0.81 1.06 0.0 51.0 5.0 14.0 9.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 3.5
0.74 1.16 20.8 37.3 2.5 7.0 10.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.3
0.69 1.61 0.0 55.0 5.5 15.0 12.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 3.0
0.66 0.89 19.0 42.3 5.3 4.3 17.8 3.0 1.8 0.0 1.8
0.64 1.08 0.0 47.5 1.0 11.0 11.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 7.0
0.63 0.84 20.8 59.8 5.8 6.0 14.3 1.5 2.0 0.0 2.5
0.61 0.53 21.8 43.8 4.5 6.3 8.0 0.5 1.3 0.0 1.5
0.61 1.70 0.0 60.0 4.0 17.0 20.5 1.5 4.0 0.0 1.5
0.59 0.50 0.0 48.3 6.8 6.5 14.8 1.8 2.8 0.0 2.3
0.57 2.35 33.0 38.0 2.5 8.5 15.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 4.0
0.50 0.59 0.0 50.0 7.3 8.0 16.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 3.5
0.45 0.32 0.0 51.0 4.0 12.5 13.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 3.0
0.38 0.96 0.0 55.0 3.0 11.0 13.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.5
0.22 0.86 0.0 61.0 6.0 6.5 11.5 0.3 1.5 0.0 1.3
0.21 0.28 0.0 55.0 3.3 7.8 12.8 1.3 1.8 0.0 1.8
0.11 1.04 0.0 51.4 6.4 9.0 8.4 0.6 1.6 0.2 2.4
0.04 0.91 0.0 36.0 2.0 7.0 13.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 3.5
0.03 0.39 0.0 40.0 3.8 2.8 9.5 1.8 1.3 0.0 3.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 41.5 3.5 0.0 19.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 32.0 1.0 0.0 27.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 49.0 2.5 0.0 8.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 25.5 7.0 0.0 14.0 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 55.0 4.0 0.0 12.5 1.5 3.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 53.0 6.0 0.0 12.5 0.5 3.0 0.5 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 31.0 1.5 0.0 11.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 37.0 2.5 0.0 11.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 46.0 3.0 11.0 14.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 4.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 47.0 3.5 0.0 9.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 26.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 35.5 2.0 0.0 14.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 47.5 4.5 0.0 13.0 1.5 4.5 0.5 0.0
0.00 0.00 0.0 61.0 5.7 0.0 14.7 0.3 4.3 0.0 0.0

Top Scorers

# Player Team Apps ⏱ ⚽ 🅰️ 🟨 🟥
1 Omonia Nicosia 6 431 4 0 0 0
2 Milan 2 117 3 0 0 0
3 Ferencvaros 10 358 3 2 1 0
4 Besiktas 8 93 2 1 3 0
5 Hradec Králové 4 92 2 1 1 0
6 Juventus 2 45 2 1 0 0
7 Ferencvaros 8 177 2 0 1 0
8 Besiktas 8 180 2 0 1 0
9 Sparta Praha 4 360 2 0 0 0
10 Lillestrom 3 55 2 0 0 0
11 Bournemouth 2 91 2 0 0 0
12 Crystal Palace 2 165 2 0 1 0
13 Benfica 7 147 2 0 1 0
14 Juventus 2 173 2 0 0 0
15 VV Sint-Truiden 2 180 2 0 1 0
16 Bayer Leverkusen 2 129 2 0 0 0
17 Ferencvaros 10 289 1 2 2 0
18 Lyon 2 180 1 2 1 0
19 CSKA Sofia 8 147 1 1 2 0
20 Besiktas 8 172 1 1 0 0

Top Assists

# Player Team Apps ⏱ 🅰️ ⚽ 🟨 🟥
1 Besiktas 8 160 3 0 0 0
2 Omonia Nicosia 6 531 3 0 1 0
3 Ferencvaros 10 358 2 3 1 0
4 Ferencvaros 10 289 2 1 2 0
5 Lyon 2 180 2 1 1 0
6 Besiktas 7 116 2 0 0 0
7 Benfica 6 110 2 0 1 0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 102 2 0 0 0
9 Crystal Palace 2 180 2 0 0 0
10 Besiktas 8 93 1 2 3 0
11 Hradec Králové 4 92 1 2 1 0
12 Juventus 2 45 1 2 0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 8 147 1 1 2 0
14 Besiktas 8 172 1 1 0 0
15 Benfica 6 80 1 1 0 0
16 Omonia Nicosia 6 396 1 1 0 0
17 Omonia Nicosia 5 449 1 1 2 0
18 PAOK 4 — 1 1 0 1
19 FC Ararat-Armenia 4 246 1 1 1 0
20 Sparta Praha 2 135 1 1 0 0

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