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World Cup

World Cup

Probabilities Squads

Tournament probabilities based on simulation results.

Group A
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Mexico flag Mexico 3 3 0 0 6 0 6 0 9 9.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 South Africa flag South Africa 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 0 4 4.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 South Korea flag South Korea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 0 3 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Czech Republic flag Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 0 1 1.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group B
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Switzerland flag Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7 3 4 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Canada flag Canada 3 1 1 1 8 3 5 0 4 4.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Bosnia and Herzegovina flag Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Qatar flag Qatar 3 0 1 2 2 10 -8 0 1 1.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group C
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Brazil flag Brazil 3 2 1 0 7 1 6 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Morocco flag Morocco 3 2 1 0 6 3 3 0 7 7.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Scotland flag Scotland 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 0 3 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Haiti flag Haiti 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group D
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 USA flag USA 3 2 0 1 8 4 4 0 6 6.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Australia flag Australia 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Paraguay flag Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 0 4 4.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Turkey flag Turkey 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 0 3 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group E
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Germany flag Germany 3 2 0 1 10 4 6 0 6 6.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4 2 2 0 6 6.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Ecuador flag Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Curaçao flag Curaçao 3 0 1 2 1 9 -8 0 1 1.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group F
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Netherlands flag Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10 4 6 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Japan flag Japan 3 1 2 0 7 3 4 0 5 5.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Sweden flag Sweden 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Tunisia flag Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2 12 -10 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group G
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Belgium flag Belgium 3 1 2 0 6 2 4 0 5 5.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Egypt flag Egypt 3 1 2 0 5 3 2 0 5 5.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Iran flag Iran 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 0 3 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 New Zealand flag New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4 10 -6 0 1 1.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group H
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Spain flag Spain 3 2 1 0 5 0 5 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Cape Verde flag Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 0 3 3.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Uruguay flag Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 0 2 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
4 Saudi Arabia flag Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1 5 -4 0 2 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Group I
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 France flag France 3 3 0 0 10 2 8 0 9 9.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Norway flag Norway 3 2 0 1 8 7 1 0 6 6.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Senegal flag Senegal 3 1 0 2 8 6 2 0 3 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Iraq flag Iraq 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group J
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Argentina flag Argentina 3 3 0 0 8 1 7 0 9 9.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Austria flag Austria 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Algeria flag Algeria 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 0 4 4.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Jordan flag Jordan 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group K
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 Colombia flag Colombia 3 2 1 0 4 1 3 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Portugal flag Portugal 3 1 2 0 6 1 5 0 5 5.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Congo DR flag Congo DR 3 1 1 1 4 3 1 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Uzbekistan flag Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2 11 -9 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Group L
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts Avg pts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Qualify
1 England flag England 3 2 1 0 6 2 4 0 7 7.00 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
2 Croatia flag Croatia 3 2 0 1 5 5 0 0 6 6.00 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
3 Ghana flag Ghana 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 4 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0%
4 Panama flag Panama 3 0 0 3 0 4 -4 0 0 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Third-Placed Teams
# Grp Team MP W D L GF GA GD FP Pts
1 K Congo DR flag Congo DR 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 0 4
2 F Sweden flag Sweden 3 1 1 1 7 7 0 0 4
3 E Ecuador flag Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 4
4 L Ghana flag Ghana 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 4
5 B Bosnia and Herzegovina flag Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 0 4
6 J Algeria flag Algeria 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 0 4
7 D Paraguay flag Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 0 4
8 I Senegal flag Senegal 3 1 0 2 8 6 +2 0 3
9 G Iran flag Iran 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 0 3
10 A South Korea flag South Korea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 0 3
11 C Scotland flag Scotland 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 0 3
12 H Uruguay flag Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 0 2
Knockout stage
Round of 32
Round of 16
Winner Match 74
Winner Match 77
Winner Match 73
Winner Match 75
Winner Match 83
Winner Match 84
Winner Match 81
Winner Match 82
Winner Match 76
Winner Match 78
Winner Match 79
Winner Match 80
Winner Match 86
Winner Match 88
Winner Match 85
Winner Match 87
Quarter-finals
Winner Match 89
Winner Match 90
Winner Match 93
Winner Match 94
Winner Match 91
Winner Match 92
Winner Match 95
Winner Match 96
Semi-finals
Winner Match 97
Winner Match 98
Winner Match 99
Winner Match 100
Final
Winner Match 101
Winner Match 102
World Cup – Probabilities
# Team Qualify group Reach R16 Reach QF Reach SF Reach final Win
1 Argentina flag Argentina 100.0% 86.5% 64.6% 43.9% 25.4% 14.38%
2 Spain flag Spain 100.0% 74.6% 47.4% 33.6% 21.6% 13.18%
3 Brazil flag Brazil 100.0% 63.1% 47.7% 30.7% 19.3% 11.39%
4 France flag France 100.0% 74.4% 44.2% 28.7% 16.3% 9.16%
5 England flag England 100.0% 80.0% 52.6% 28.6% 16.2% 8.49%
6 Netherlands flag Netherlands 100.0% 60.5% 43.3% 22.1% 11.2% 5.72%
7 Portugal flag Portugal 100.0% 59.2% 27.5% 17.1% 9.2% 4.77%
8 Germany flag Germany 100.0% 60.5% 30.7% 18.2% 9.3% 4.69%
9 Colombia flag Colombia 100.0% 69.9% 42.4% 20.3% 9.4% 4.26%
10 Belgium flag Belgium 100.0% 57.1% 35.6% 14.8% 7.0% 3.14%
11 Japan flag Japan 100.0% 36.9% 23.7% 12.3% 6.2% 2.87%
12 USA flag USA 100.0% 73.9% 34.2% 12.3% 5.1% 2.08%
13 Mexico flag Mexico 100.0% 56.4% 24.5% 10.2% 4.5% 1.83%
14 Switzerland flag Switzerland 100.0% 58.1% 28.3% 11.6% 4.6% 1.79%
15 Morocco flag Morocco 100.0% 39.5% 24.3% 9.7% 3.9% 1.53%
16 Croatia flag Croatia 100.0% 40.8% 15.5% 8.2% 3.7% 1.52%
17 Australia flag Australia 100.0% 39.5% 16.2% 8.1% 3.4% 1.37%
18 Senegal flag Senegal 100.0% 42.9% 24.0% 8.5% 3.5% 1.37%
19 Egypt flag Egypt 100.0% 62.1% 21.4% 10.1% 3.7% 1.32%
20 Ecuador flag Ecuador 100.0% 43.6% 16.5% 6.0% 2.4% 0.78%
21 Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast 100.0% 52.2% 15.4% 5.9% 2.2% 0.74%
22 Algeria flag Algeria 100.0% 25.4% 9.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.60%
23 Norway flag Norway 100.0% 47.8% 13.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.59%
24 Austria flag Austria 100.0% 41.9% 17.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.59%
25 Canada flag Canada 100.0% 54.5% 18.7% 5.9% 1.8% 0.53%
26 Sweden flag Sweden 100.0% 25.6% 8.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.36%
27 South Africa flag South Africa 100.0% 45.5% 13.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.30%
28 Ghana flag Ghana 100.0% 30.1% 12.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.26%
29 Paraguay flag Paraguay 100.0% 37.9% 9.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.25%
30 Congo DR flag Congo DR 100.0% 20.0% 6.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.08%
31 Cape Verde flag Cape Verde 100.0% 13.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.04%
32 Bosnia and Herzegovina flag Bosnia and Herzegovina 100.0% 26.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.04%
33 Iran flag Iran 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
34 South Korea flag South Korea 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
35 Turkey flag Turkey 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
36 Scotland flag Scotland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
37 Uruguay flag Uruguay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
38 Saudi Arabia flag Saudi Arabia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
39 Czech Republic flag Czech Republic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
40 New Zealand flag New Zealand 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
41 Qatar flag Qatar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
42 Curaçao flag Curaçao 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
43 Tunisia flag Tunisia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
44 Uzbekistan flag Uzbekistan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
45 Iraq flag Iraq 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
46 Panama flag Panama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
47 Jordan flag Jordan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
48 Haiti flag Haiti 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Top Scorers

# Player Team Apps ⏱ ⚽ 🅰️ 🟨 🟥
1
L. Messi L. Messi
Argentina 4 320 7 0 0 0
2
E. Haaland E. Haaland
Norway 4 360 7 0 0 0
3
Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé
France 5 441 7 2 0 0
4
H. Kane H. Kane
England 5 444 6 1 0 0
5
O. Dembélé O. Dembélé
France 5 372 4 2 0 0
6
Mikel Oyarzabal Mikel Oyarzabal
Spain 5 390 4 1 0 0
7
J. Quiñones J. Quiñones
Mexico 5 414 4 1 0 0
8
J. Bellingham J. Bellingham
England 5 417 4 1 1 0
9
Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior
Brazil 5 441 4 1 0 0
10
I. Sarr I. Sarr
Senegal 4 366 4 1 0 0
11
D. Undav D. Undav
Germany 4 149 3 2 0 0
12
J. Manzambi J. Manzambi
Switzerland 4 200 3 2 0 0
13
R. Lukaku R. Lukaku
Belgium 5 206 3 1 1 0
14
C. Gakpo C. Gakpo
Netherlands 4 371 3 1 0 0
15
Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha
Brazil 5 293 3 0 0 0
16
I. Saibari I. Saibari
Morocco 5 385 3 0 0 0
17
J. David J. David
Canada 5 428 3 0 1 0
18
B. Brobbey B. Brobbey
Netherlands 4 232 3 0 0 0
19
F. Balogun F. Balogun
USA 4 314 3 0 1 1
20
E. Just E. Just
New Zealand 3 265 3 0 1 0

Top Assists

# Player Team Apps ⏱ 🅰️ ⚽ 🟨 🟥
1
M. Olise M. Olise
France 5 398 5 0 1 0
2
Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz
Morocco 5 388 4 0 0 0
3
Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães
Brazil 5 419 4 0 0 0
4
A. Isak A. Isak
Sweden 4 358 3 1 0 0
5
A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup
Norway 5 183 3 0 0 0
6
B. Saka B. Saka
England 5 192 3 0 0 0
7
R. Alvarado R. Alvarado
Mexico 5 443 3 0 0 0
8
M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard
Norway 4 351 3 0 0 0
9
F. Wirtz F. Wirtz
Germany 4 363 3 0 0 0
10
Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé
France 5 441 2 7 0 0
11
O. Dembélé O. Dembélé
France 5 372 2 4 0 0
12
D. Undav D. Undav
Germany 4 149 2 3 0 0
13
J. Manzambi J. Manzambi
Switzerland 4 200 2 3 0 0
14
L. Trossard L. Trossard
Belgium 5 450 2 2 0 0
15
C. Summerville C. Summerville
Netherlands 4 253 2 2 1 0
16
B. Embolo B. Embolo
Switzerland 4 347 2 2 0 0
17
H. Vanaken H. Vanaken
Belgium 5 264 2 1 0 0
18
J. Enciso J. Enciso
Paraguay 5 387 2 1 0 0
19
A. Hakimi A. Hakimi
Morocco 5 480 2 1 1 0
20
Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah
Egypt 4 338 2 1 0 0

Recent Matches

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Jordan Jordan flag
1-3
Argentina flag Argentina
Algeria Algeria flag
3-3
Austria flag Austria

Saturday, June 27, 2026

New Zealand New Zealand flag
1-5
Belgium flag Belgium
Egypt Egypt flag
1-1
Iran flag Iran
Uruguay Uruguay flag
0-1
Spain flag Spain
Cape Verde Cape Verde flag
0-0
Saudi Arabia flag Saudi Arabia
Colombia Colombia flag
0-0
Portugal flag Portugal
Congo DR Congo DR flag
3-1
Uzbekistan flag Uzbekistan
Panama Panama flag
0-2
England flag England
Croatia Croatia flag
2-1
Ghana flag Ghana

Friday, June 26, 2026

Turkey Turkey flag
3-2
USA flag USA
Paraguay Paraguay flag
0-0
Australia flag Australia
Norway Norway flag
1-4
France flag France
Senegal Senegal flag
5-0
Iraq flag Iraq

Thursday, June 25, 2026

Czech Republic Czech Republic flag
0-3
Mexico flag Mexico
South Africa South Africa flag
1-0
South Korea flag South Korea
Ecuador Ecuador flag
2-1
Germany flag Germany
Curaçao Curaçao flag
0-2
Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast
Tunisia Tunisia flag
1-3
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Japan Japan flag
1-1
Sweden flag Sweden

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Colombia Colombia flag
1-0
Congo DR flag Congo DR
Switzerland Switzerland flag
2-1
Canada flag Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina flag
3-1
Qatar flag Qatar
Scotland Scotland flag
0-3
Brazil flag Brazil
Morocco Morocco flag
4-2
Haiti flag Haiti

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Norway Norway flag
3-2
Senegal flag Senegal
Jordan Jordan flag
1-2
Algeria flag Algeria
Portugal Portugal flag
5-0
Uzbekistan flag Uzbekistan
England England flag
0-0
Ghana flag Ghana
Panama Panama flag
0-1
Croatia flag Croatia

Monday, June 22, 2026

New Zealand New Zealand flag
1-3
Egypt flag Egypt
France France flag
3-0
Iraq flag Iraq
Argentina Argentina flag
2-0
Austria flag Austria

Sunday, June 21, 2026

Ecuador Ecuador flag
0-0
Curaçao flag Curaçao
Tunisia Tunisia flag
0-4
Japan flag Japan
Belgium Belgium flag
0-0
Iran flag Iran
Spain Spain flag
4-0
Saudi Arabia flag Saudi Arabia
Uruguay Uruguay flag
2-2
Cape Verde flag Cape Verde

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Brazil Brazil flag
3-0
Haiti flag Haiti
Turkey Turkey flag
0-1
Paraguay flag Paraguay
Germany Germany flag
2-1
Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast
Netherlands Netherlands flag
5-1
Sweden flag Sweden

Friday, June 19, 2026

Mexico Mexico flag
1-0
South Korea flag South Korea
Scotland Scotland flag
0-1
Morocco flag Morocco
USA USA flag
2-0
Australia flag Australia

Thursday, June 18, 2026

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan flag
1-3
Colombia flag Colombia
Czech Republic Czech Republic flag
1-1
South Africa flag South Africa
Switzerland Switzerland flag
4-1
Bosnia and Herzegovina flag Bosnia and Herzegovina
Canada Canada flag
6-0
Qatar flag Qatar

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Argentina Argentina flag
3-0
Algeria flag Algeria
Austria Austria flag
3-1
Jordan flag Jordan
Portugal Portugal flag
1-1
Congo DR flag Congo DR
England England flag
4-2
Croatia flag Croatia
Ghana Ghana flag
1-0
Panama flag Panama

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Iran Iran flag
2-2
New Zealand flag New Zealand
France France flag
3-1
Senegal flag Senegal
Iraq Iraq flag
1-4
Norway flag Norway

Monday, June 15, 2026

Sweden Sweden flag
5-1
Tunisia flag Tunisia
Belgium Belgium flag
1-1
Egypt flag Egypt
Spain Spain flag
0-0
Cape Verde flag Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia flag
1-1
Uruguay flag Uruguay

Sunday, June 14, 2026

Haiti Haiti flag
0-1
Scotland flag Scotland
Australia Australia flag
2-0
Turkey flag Turkey
Germany Germany flag
7-1
Curaçao flag Curaçao
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast flag
1-0
Ecuador flag Ecuador
Netherlands Netherlands flag
2-2
Japan flag Japan

Saturday, June 13, 2026

USA USA flag
4-1
Paraguay flag Paraguay
Qatar Qatar flag
1-1
Switzerland flag Switzerland
Brazil Brazil flag
1-1
Morocco flag Morocco

Friday, June 12, 2026

South Korea South Korea flag
2-1
Czech Republic flag Czech Republic
Canada Canada flag
1-1
Bosnia and Herzegovina flag Bosnia and Herzegovina

Thursday, June 11, 2026

Mexico Mexico flag
2-0
South Africa flag South Africa